Last month, the Minister of Civil Affairs published an op-ed in the Learning Times, proposing for the first time to "enhance the efficiency of administrative resource allocation, and explore the path of optimizing administrative planning in areas where the population is shrinking".
The key words: population contraction, administrative planning optimization.
This releases an important signal, the era of negative population growth, around the administrative area planning will usher in a new round of "reshuffle".
Forcing us to face up to the population problem, the local must learn to layout "grabbing people".
Population war, known as the invisible smoke battlefield, the strongest constant situation, is unchanging?
Take a look at the central provinces in the only realization of the population back to Anhui, is how to do it?
01 Anhui against the trend of return
Population contraction, in the national and even global perspective, is the inevitable negative population growth irreversible development.
In the national trend, the eastern coastal cities, especially in Guangdong, Zhejiang and other regions, is siphoning off talent nationwide.
From the current published data of the 28 provinces Bureau of Statistics, in 2024, Guangdong, Zhejiang, Xinjiang, Fujian, Hainan, Tibet, Anhui, Shaanxi and other 8 provinces, the resident population rose, Jiangsu and Tianjin and other 2 provinces to remain unchanged, and the remaining 18 provinces, the population declined.
Combined with the previous year's data, the province with the largest increase in resident population in 2023 was Zhejiang, up 500,000 people, followed by Guangdong, with an increase of 490,000 people in resident population in 2023.
The direction of population movement is positively correlated with local economic vitality.
At first glance, one would think that this is good for super first-tier and mega cities; and bad for county economies.
In fact, digging deeper into the data, this trend is not absolute.
We have seen that Anhui is the only one of the six central provinces to realize positive population growth.
As a local hand, it's important to keep an eye on what other regions are doing well in terms of population attraction, in order to learn from them.
Anhui, located at the junction of the two strategies of the rise of central China and the integration of the Yangtze River Delta (YRD), shares the policy dividends of the central China and the YRD urban agglomeration at the same time, and undertakes the spillover of resources and industrial division of labor of the major cities in the YRD.
Data shows that in 2024, the resident population of Hefei exceeded the 10 million mark, reaching 10.2 million people, and formally ranked among the Yangtze River Delta "10 million people in the city club".
From the point of view of the cities, Anhui population in 2024 as a whole presents the "capital of the province alone" situation. Hefei resident population growth is unique, the annual new 149,000 people.
Hefei, Anhui Province, is the engine of population growth, the next focus on Hefei specific practices.
02 industrial structure and income
2024, Hefei mechanical growth population reached 131,000 people, accounting for 87.9% of the net increase in the resident population.
Migration to Hefei population accounted for nearly 90%, showing the city's strong attraction to the population.
Hefei can attract a large number of population inflow, the core lies in its rich and high-quality industrial base.
"The core screen automobile combined, set the final wisdom" characteristic advantageous industries continue to iterate and upgrade, and continue to create high-quality jobs at the same time, the cost of clothing, food, housing and transportation in line with the expectations of the youth group.
In order for us to have a more intuitive feeling, the introduction of the data on housing prices and income.
In the March 2025 national city house price ranking (residential), the average price of Hefei house price is 17,969 yuan / ㎡, ranked 15th, compared with Shanghai (65,021 yuan / ㎡) and other super first-tier cities, Hefei house price gap is obvious.
Compared with the same echelon of cities, such as Wuhan (15,504 yuan / ㎡), Nanjing (29,281 yuan / ㎡), Hefei housing prices lower than Nanjing, slightly higher than Wuhan.
Hefei 2024 per capita disposable income of 55,832 yuan, compared with Shanghai (88,366 yuan/year), Wuhan (59,732 yuan/year), Nanjing (75,180 yuan/year), Hefei is lower than Shanghai, Nanjing at the same time, slightly lower than Wuhan.
Compared with Shanghai and Nanjing, Hefei's per capita income of 55,000 yuan and house price of 17,000 yuan/㎡ is a relative advantage.
People with the industry on the other hand, the city's industrial structure is more reasonable, in line with the talent "rooted" expectations, local economic development is more resilient.
This is a higher demand for local economic and industrial structure, social and environmental governance.
In 2024, Hefei ranked 19th in the country with a GDP of 135.07 billion yuan.
In which, the value-added of regulated industry increased by 14.8% year-on-year, hitting a new high in the same period of the last three years;
Advanced manufacturing industry is a breakthrough in the promotion of war new industry output value increased by 12.6% year-on-year, hitting a new high in the last 24 months.
New energy vehicle production exceeded 1.35 million, new display, integrated circuit output value have achieved double-digit growth, photovoltaic and new energy storage inverter production ranked first in the world, the number of quantum information industry clusters in the country's first ......
This also caters to the needs of the youth groups looking for jobs.
Artificial intelligence, new energy, chip semiconductors, biomedicine, 5G communications and other industries occupy a high position in the list of the most popular industries for job seekers, according to job search websites.
03 Merchants Flip Window
The rise of emerging industries relies on an innovative, entrepreneurial environment, focusing on the level of substantial action in Hefei - to give people, to give money, to give services.
"Give people" is mainly reflected in the process of running to the talent. At the beginning of this year, around artificial intelligence, quantum science and technology, air and space information and other future industries, Hefei mapping of key employers intention, the formation of 13 task force, went to Beijing, Shanghai, Xi'an and other 14 cities, 36 key colleges and universities take the initiative to solicit talent.
In the talent government system, on-line operation of the "Hefei Talent Code", on-line realization of the settlement, transportation, policy cash and other nearly 50 high-quality talent services "a code to enjoy", the cumulative total of services provided by more than 220,000 people.
"Give money" is mainly reflected in the targeted financial support.
Just last week, Hefei City, the first science and technology investment fund officially landed, the fund size of 200 million yuan for intelligent manufacturing, artificial intelligence and other emerging industries, the early transformation of scientific and technological achievements to provide support for the project.
The Hefei government is good at using state funds to leverage social capital.
Taking the Azalea China project as an example, Hefei City intends to contribute 5 billion yuan, since the first 3 billion yuan in place, the market confidence quickly boosted, Azalea was able to reverse operational difficulties, and through the issuance of U.S. depositary receipts to raise funds of more than tens of billions of dollars, the gradual enrichment of cash flow.
"Give service" is mainly reflected in the "chain length system".
From 2020 onwards, Hefei in order to promote the industry to strengthen the chain, make up the chain, extend the chain, by the municipal party committee, the municipal government is responsible for the leadership of the relevant as integrated circuits, such as 12 key industrial chain "chain leader", the implementation of the "top grid method of warfare", that is, by the final clapboard The person who is directly responsible for, top listening, top coordination, top promotion.
Why do we need a hand when the industry chain "chain leader"?
Because the mobilization of resources, the coordination of all relevant departments and other substantive work to promote, only a hand can do top-down efficient promotion and landing.
Economic vitality, attracting the population to gather; industrial structure, determining the structure of talent; comprehensive urban governance, is standing in a higher dimension for each "people" to provide convenient food, clothing, housing and transportation, which will feed the industrial ecology in the long-term economic cycle.
